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  "PageContent": "<h3>Ronald Richman – Avid Actuary</h3>Welcome to website and blog of Ronald Richman.Please subscribe below:Or read some recent posts:PhDoneOctober 12, 2025A Paradigm Shift in Prediction: Why Actuarial Science Must Redefine Its Understanding of AIJuly 22, 2025The Actuary in an Age of AI: Connecting Classical Principles with Modern MethodsDecember 8, 2024High-Cardinality Categorical Covariates in Network RegressionsAugust 24, 2023Talk on ‘Explainable deep learning for actuarial modelling’August 24, 2023Smoothness and monotonicity constraints for neural networks using ICEnetMay 17, 2023Accurate and Explainable Mortality Forecasting with the LocalGLMnetMarch 7, 2023New book by Wüthrich and Merz published!November 25, 2022GIRO 2022November 24, 2022ASSA 2022 Convention AwardsOctober 31, 2022Reserving with the Cape Cod Method – OMI/ASABA MasterclassAugust 26, 2022DFIP Old and New – Talk at the 2022 STIC SeminarAugust 18, 2022Discrimination Free Insurance Pricing – new paperJuly 6, 2022LASSO Regularization within the LocalGLMnet ArchitectureSeptember 23, 2021LocalGLMnetJuly 26, 2021EEA Keynote TalkJune 29, 2021Mind the Gap – Safely Incorporating Deep Learning Models into the Actuarial ToolkitJune 2, 2021Objective “Judgement” – article discussing `The Actuary and IBNR Techniques`April 8, 2021Interpreting Deep Learning Models with Marginal Attribution by Conditioning on QuantilesMarch 22, 2021x is not f(x): Insurance editionFebruary 24, 2021Talk at the CAS Annual Meeting, 2020November 12, 2020The Actuary and IBNR TechniquesNovember 10, 2020Nagging PredictorsJune 17, 2020HMD – Weekly DataMay 21, 20202020 Hachemeister PrizeMay 20, 2020Discrimination-Free Insurance PricingJanuary 17, 2020IDSC Africa – Call for AbstractsJanuary 7, 2020IDSC – AfricaDecember 15, 2019Talk at Wits – 18/7/2019July 21, 2019Ideas from IDSC 2019June 20, 2019Insurance Data Science Conference – 2019June 13, 2019Industry publications – Sigma/Lloyd’sApril 24, 2019Presentations at the IAA Colloquium 2019 – Cape TownApril 8, 2019Some interesting new articlesMarch 20, 2019Depth is all you needFebruary 27, 2019Advances in time series forecasting – M4 and what it means for insuranceDecember 31, 2018Thoughts on the M4 ConferenceDecember 17, 2018Neural Network Embedding of the Over-Dispersed Poisson Reserving ModelNovember 25, 2018Neural networks, the Lee-Carter Model and Large Scale Mortality  ForecastingOctober 28, 2018AI in Actuarial Science – #ASSA2018October 23, 2018Thoughts on writing “AI in Actuarial Science”July 25, 2018Thoughts on the International Congress of Actuaries 2018June 11, 2018Naked – South Africa’s Lemonade?April 15, 2018Motor policy price comparisons  – comparing apples with orangesFebruary 18, 2018Bridging between the tribes – chain-ladder and lifetablesFebruary 7, 2018AI in Actuarial ScienceJanuary 29, 2018Self-driving cars and the impact of Motor Accidents on Mortality – The Case of South AfricaJanuary 19, 2018Working with Demographic Data in South AfricaJanuary 12, 2018AIG Report on Self-driving CarsJanuary 7, 2018Self-driving cars and the impact of Motor Accidents on MortalityJanuary 5, 2018Links – Week of 24 DecemberDecember 26, 2017USA Personal Auto Frequency  and the link to Sub-prime Loans (Speculative)December 21, 2017Links – Week of 17 DecemberDecember 19, 2017",
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